Published: Tue, June 20, 2017
World | By Paul Elliott

Tropical system creeps closer to Gulf Coast

Tropical system creeps closer to Gulf Coast

Reminiscent of tropical storm "Debby" in June, 2012 when the GFS outperformed other models in taking a weak but very wet tropical storm east/northeast to Florida causing flooding rains.

The National Hurricane Center said that interest from the Texas coast to the Florida Panhandle should monitor this storm. Tropical Storm Bret has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour.

The threat of heavy rain will spread inland in Alabama on Wednesday and Thursday.

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting gradual intensification into a tropical storm by Monday.

On Wednesday, if the track is more west with time, then our chance for rain and storms won't be as high and will average around 30 to 40 percent.

The system, named Invest 93L and now near Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, was too disorganized to have an official track or strength forecast as of Monday morning, but at a minimum, significant rainfall is expected in the Florida Panhandle later in the week.

Tropical Storm Bret has unleashed heavy flooding, knocked out power and ripped off several roofs in some areas of Trinidad &Tobago as it swirls west across the southern Caribbean region.

The Caribbean area of "disturbed weather" - wave "93L" - continues to produce numerous albeit somewhat disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A drift toward the north will continue with it entering the Gulf on Monday.

Now located about 300 miles (485 km) south of Morgan City, Louisiana, it is expected to be near the Louisiana coast late on Wednesday, the Miami-based weather forecaster said. Then, after passing through the Windward Islands, the forecast calls for it to weaken into a remnant low by midweek, due to increasing southerly wind shear.

Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines in the Windward Islands.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bret, which was located about 80 miles west of Trinidad at 5am this morning.

Any storms that do form typically track north or northeastward, which brings the Gulf Coast and the Southeast coast in play for potential impacts.

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